TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65a5…f5b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+622.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+646.3%+$129.9
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+891.2%+$179.82
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54.71
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+102.4%+$12.65
Will Our Party (PN) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.4
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$138
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.77
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.91
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.16
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will another person be the next Pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.09
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+20,449.3%+$5,091.31
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+84.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+334.8%+$770
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yale advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.