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Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36b2…f348backed No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024d…a6febacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…2232backed Yes27c9,998$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,298.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e40…4141backed No73c9,997$7,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,297.8140%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No69c6,048$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.1913857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No21c5,149$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes36c2,895$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+198.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes39c2,671$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.1120744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No65c2,270$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.4738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x594f…392cbacked Yes29c1,999$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked No64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed No47c1,185$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.084843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b3…fd35backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes27c899.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.995442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c887.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.9418740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed No72c718.88$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.011163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a7…f7b4backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes29c586.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.215141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No71c561.5$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.679255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…26ecbacked Yes29c554.86$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+172%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No48c449.55$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.196177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No31c399.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes43c366.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.632025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes62c352.58$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes41c351.85$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.592334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.836425%16 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed No72c325.27$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.194334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c310.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3424630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes76c309.59$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7110545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No44c279.74$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0919743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x159f…dfb1backed Yes72c276.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6899…6853backed Yes28c258.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c4…fb23backed Yes28c240.89$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73f…b237backed Yes29c231.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No60c224.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6621353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1588646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes40c174.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.662941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4117434.5%60 W · 114 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No27c170$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9907…d5f1backed Yes40c101.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…7a72backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e6…4979backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff9…066abacked No77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3098…f886backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No72c93.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9552060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e7…fec5backed Yes68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423b…0972backed No73c89.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.19540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6d…2a58backed No73c88.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed No73c88.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ba…044cbacked No73c87.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No68c84.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5512357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e07…a6e7backed No73c82.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes73c82.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Yes48c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4592…3d1cbacked No73c77.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked No72c76.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87de…42bfbacked Yes29c75.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5737…2eb2backed No73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab88…8a0cbacked Yes28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb609…086cbacked No73c74.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008e…5747backed No73c73.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a9…8798backed Yes55c73.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Yes23c70$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.95832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77da…f8eebacked No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…274dbacked No73c68.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes38c68.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8325637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d1…b694backed No73c64.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2566…95c7backed Yes28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes29c64.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.463551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes27c62.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed No73c62.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…aaf4backed Yes29c54.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed No73c50.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb3…0e38backed Yes60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes28c42.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.417146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed No73c41.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.354261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Yes33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick33cpaid+207.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+123.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5e9…9f82backed No72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No43c33.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.470072.3%506 W · 194 L+83.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x80d2…4528backed No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6449backed No65c26.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Yes48c25.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.659150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf6…fdb1backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf45d…8974backed Yes76c17.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.