Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ef5155479c676050b961974bc3ea0b0b8fb1f61db67bb09ac32a67433aa6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 56c | 90,823$51,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,812.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 44c | 68,383$29,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,888.71 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8921…fbd0backed No | 57c | 56,433$32,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,266.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…a8c3backed Yes | 43c | 44,600$19,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…d45fbacked Yes | 43c | 37,200$15,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…6119backed Yes | 43c | 32,450$13,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,953.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…c78abacked No | 57c | 29,350$16,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,620.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 56c | 28,703$15,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,722.35 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…2db5backed No | 57c | 28,700$16,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,341 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 43c | 18,619$7,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.43 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 59c | 6,459$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.05 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yes | 45c | 6,442$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 67c | 5,220$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.57 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 4,134$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.23 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 4,011$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 45c | 3,134$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 3,121$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.26 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed No | 55c | 2,882$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 38c | 2,843$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 44c | 2,570$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.14 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 13c | 2,339$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.8 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 1,768$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.16 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 44c | 1,594$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,537$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 58c | 1,413$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 44c | 1,138$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 37c | 1,087$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 33c | 922.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 62c | 888$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 58c | 743.45$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 703.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 43c | 668.61$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 23c | 613.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 66c | 609.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 63c | 562.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 44c | 546.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 47c | 540$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 58c | 482.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 58c | 413.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…95e0backed No | 55c | 372.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 368.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 56c | 315.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 61c | 233.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…ab60backed Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 43c | 217.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 50c | 202.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Yes | 42c | 191.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 43c | 187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…9be7backed Yes | 44c | 176.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed No | 57c | 173.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 72c | 173.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 57c | 130.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 57c | 121.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 53c | 120.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…d5dabacked Yes | 46c | 118.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…33adbacked Yes | 46c | 117.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…f39fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…f4f2backed Yes | 46c | 110.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…b182backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…83cdbacked Yes | 46c | 108.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…05e0backed Yes | 46c | 104.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 58c | 104.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…fca2backed Yes | 46c | 103.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…dddabacked Yes | 46c | 100.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…6601backed Yes | 46c | 99.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…e2d7backed No | 55c | 99.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.