TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6391…bc1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT8052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$141.44
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$138.6
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$280.17
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.24
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.71
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$142.56
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.92
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$145.08
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.32
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.61
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.5
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$160.47
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$166.4
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.1
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.92
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$26.46
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.12
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$143.64
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.91
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$119.6
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$291.06
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.12
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.84
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$441.38
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.47
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$145.35
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$285.75
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.96
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.38
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.39
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$428.22
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.5
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$526.2
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.86
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.8
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+86%+$569.45
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.81
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$682.36
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.86
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.88
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.8
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$188.32
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$145.22
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47.47
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$47.84
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$48.06
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$341.17
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.2
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$592.01
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$67.32
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.17
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.43
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$29.24
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.4
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.4
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$64.02
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$242.5
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+185.1%+$181.8
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.2
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.66
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.63
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$310.05
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$320.16
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$102.3
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.4
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$113.75
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.29
Reds vs. Royalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$97.24
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinalsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.83
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. paiNbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.37
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+55%+$289.68
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.34
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$99
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$283.45
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. paiNbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. Lynn Visionbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$55.86
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.01
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.84
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVIbacked NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.28
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$39.36
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.59
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. paiNbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$123.2
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.2
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. NAVIbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.25
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FURIAbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Legacybacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$131.1
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Liquid vs. Lynn Visionbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$80.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. 3DMAXbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. MIBRbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$277.2
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: B8 vs. Lynn Visionbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.15
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Nemiga vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. 3DMAXbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.24
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.96
Will Ipswich vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$92.75
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.24
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.55
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$59.5
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$440.96
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.58
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$203.81
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$34.5
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$34.45
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$203.04
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.2
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$93.86
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$219.41
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$139.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$48.29
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$118.26
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$118.27
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.6
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$121.94
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98.02
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$495.99
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+271.6%+$203.91
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,712.5
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,036.55
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+154.1%+$721.88
Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Boca Juniors vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,162.2
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$97.34
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$58.3
Will Palmeiras vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.13
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$42.84
Will FC Porto beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.96
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.49
Will PSG vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$12.48
Will Atlético Madrid beat PSG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$164
Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$200.31
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$547.22
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$518.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$227.7
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$627.49
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$142.56
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Atlético Madrid beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$477.52
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.64
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+309.3%+$3,705.79
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$186.78
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Switzerland before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+293.7%+$298.4
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$360
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.5
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$249.92
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250.16
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$117.44
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$74.75
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$15.76
Will "Saturn" by SZA win Best R&B Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$153.14
Will "A Bar Song (Tipsy)" by Shaboozey win Best Country Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$249.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+203%+$147.4
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,665
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$143.49
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$142.12
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruudbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$144.9
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$47.25
Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+332.9%+$122.03
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$117
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.25
Lynx vs Sparksbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake beat D.C. United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.12
Will Columbus Crew vs. Vancouver Whitecaps end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$27.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.5
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$351
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.