MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a8dbab26e39ab34b1314828bc9e9929de0f1d2a4cbc3c9700c78c815da6630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 53c | 115,150$61,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,029.73 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 47c | 100,515$47,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,273.1 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 11c | 11,692$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.37 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 21c | 5,150$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Marlins | 50c | 3,685$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals | 12c | 2,874$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 78c | 2,347$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.39 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 26c | 2,286$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 48c | 2,210$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 49c | 2,204$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Nationals | 6c | 2,015$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 9c | 2,007$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nationals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.81 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Nationals | 16c | 1,617$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals | 24c | 1,442$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nationals | 20c | 1,352$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Nationals | 50c | 1,050$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Nationals | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.97 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.45 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Nationals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Marlins | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Nationals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals | 14c | 999.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 40c | 987.92$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 11c | 886.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 54c | 869.91$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 50c | 834.56$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 48c | 810.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.69 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 20c | 809.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 49c | 760.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 49c | 749.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Nationals | 28c | 702.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Nationals | 52c | 667.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Nationals | 52c | 660.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 49c | 642.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Nationals | 28c | 600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 14c | 572.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 14c | 547.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nationals | 52c | 522.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Marlins | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 51c | 480.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 72c | 455.28$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Marlins | 45c | 449.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 3c | 439.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Nationals | 18c | 439.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 53c | 428.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…443ebacked Marlins | 51c | 417.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Nationals | 24c | 408.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Nationals | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Nationals | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 47c | 399.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 34c | 394.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Nationals | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Nationals | 53c | 377.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Marlins | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Nationals | 51c | 367.53$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Nationals | 52c | 359.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 71c | 357.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Marlins | 51c | 356.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Marlins | 49c | 348.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 17c | 332.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Nationals | 52c | 321.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Marlins | 49c | 314.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…ae55backed Nationals | 51c | 314.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nationals | 46c | 284.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nationals | 20c | 277.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Nationals | 32c | 270$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Nationals | 51c | 253.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Nationals | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Nationals | 28c | 218.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Nationals | 46c | 217.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Nationals | 25c | 200.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Nationals | 52c | 191.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Nationals | 24c | 187.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Nationals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nationals | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Nationals | 39c | 170.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Nationals | 11c | 168.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 48c | 167.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 48c | 162.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Nationals | 25c | 159.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 48c | 158.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nationals | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Marlins | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nationals | 7c | 146.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…7ba2backed Nationals | 56c | 140.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Nationals | 15c | 134.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.