TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa34d…67fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$165.2
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.2
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.2
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$257.9
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$330.47
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$171.11
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$394.31
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$204.59
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$494.67
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.1
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+189.5%+$1,871.95
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-92.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$84.55
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$124.29
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$887.28
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$57.5
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$335.19
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$189.77
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$272.46
Will Nico Collins be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$149.52
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.38
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$171.83
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$344.14
Browns vs. Commandersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$90.43
Jets vs. Vikingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.4
Will CeeDee Lamb be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.48
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$47.51
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$96.2
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$1,295.66
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+186.5%+$91.14
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$403.14
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$101.82
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$51.5
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.98
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,325.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick23cpaid+355.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$96.2
Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$324
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+203%+$522.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.