MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f44701dc0507e5374f1465a5701eaf811a3bba049f8fe4c4d8530b4414babeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Mariners, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 29,386$14,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,009.54 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 50c | 20,835$10,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.35 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 18,238$9,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.93 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 55c | 16,500$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 51c | 11,524$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 8,325$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.49 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Mariners | 61c | 7,983$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mariners | 75c | 6,819$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.92 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 46c | 5,939$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Mariners | 55c | 5,828$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 5,377$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.52 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 1c | 5,051$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,213$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.44 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.94 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,636$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.31 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Mariners | 51c | 3,311$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mariners | 51c | 3,311$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.72 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,012$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,541$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 2,339$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Mariners | 50c | 2,083$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,046$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.92 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.68 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 14c | 1,802$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Mariners | 60c | 1,774$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 1c | 1,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,540$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.57 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mariners | 3c | 1,508$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…3542backed Mariners | 22c | 1,369$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 48c | 1,233$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mariners | 49c | 1,160$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.22 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 1,145$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.54 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.28 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,035$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 913.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 894.87$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 3c | 800.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 793.28$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.64 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 751.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 51c | 713.82$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 710.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 51c | 710$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Mariners | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Mariners | 2c | 635$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 617.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.39 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 44c | 534.23$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 4c | 512.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.54 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 485.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Mariners | 71c | 424.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Mariners | 67c | 411.34$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 411$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 50c | 410$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Mariners | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 399.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Mariners | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 58c | 369$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 369$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 335$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mariners | 33c | 325.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 5c | 321.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Mariners | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mariners | 51c | 299.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mariners | 49c | 299$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 294.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 266.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 231$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 224.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 220.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 52c | 217.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mariners | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mariners | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Mariners | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 51c | 196.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Mariners | 54c | 181.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Mariners | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Mariners | 59c | 170.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mariners | 43c | 167.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Mariners | 76c | 166.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da7…a164backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 166.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Mariners | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 48c | 148.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mariners | 48c | 130.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.