TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Brewers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$554,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x343d…456ebacked Mets50c362,969$181,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,848.293360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Brewers52c144,555$75,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,168.596642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers48c120,163$58,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,158.7386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Mets48c45,905$22,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,660.5911040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers53c26,473$13,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,899.8238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers50c21,515$10,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,842.661,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers52c21,400$11,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,074.4915745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers48c19,403$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.2397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Mets47c16,000$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,48014747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers44c14,670$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,508.91,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Mets48c14,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,280683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers49c11,952$5,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.141,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers50c10,897$5,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,492.5949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Brewers52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers51c8,570$4,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.741850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Mets55c6,383$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.948641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers5c4,856$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers54c4,348$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets49c4,315$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers0c4,008$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.834754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Brewers52c3,083$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1119452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mets48c2,601$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.4744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Brewers52c2,555$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.611553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Brewers49c2,200$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07814446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Brewers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…3332backed Brewers53c1,867$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.261050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers1c1,653$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers53c1,505$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Mets47c1,298$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9114444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Brewers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers3c988$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.518762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Mets50c956.23$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.0410744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Brewers53c945.83$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2917754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ce…7d8bbacked Brewers55c891$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb3c…cd74backed Mets45c858$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…2e0cbacked Mets45c842$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e0d4backed Brewers55c809$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Mets49c773.16$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Brewers3c758.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers3c757.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers47c753.8$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers53c699.4$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.365,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets45c666$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.331346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Brewers52c621$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Brewers49c606.64$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Mets54c590.61$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.811637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Brewers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers52c533.68$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5154048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Brewers52c480.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Brewers52c477$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.049332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Brewers28c449.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8338741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Brewers46c439.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Brewers5c405$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Brewers52c393$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2921044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers10c377.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2725550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Brewers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers8c364.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mets49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Mets48c293.12$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4226949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Mets49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.512337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets48c237.48$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers18c237.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.191,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets45c234$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12119849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers52c216$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.321,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da3…a274backed Mets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Mets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0821853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Mets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Brewers31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Mets53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.995764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ed…ca5fbacked Brewers52c174$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Brewers51c171.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7125952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets47c169.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.221,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fe…4c6abacked Brewers53c166.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Brewers52c163.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.286435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Mets45c161.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9114949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers7c153.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Mets48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Brewers71c147.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.439345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x697b…0d4ebacked Brewers52c147$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.442544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef2…b798backed Brewers12c143.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53727%10 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Brewers52c133.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.517155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9f…b70abacked Brewers51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f88…1272backed Mets50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers52c127$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Mets45c126.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4419742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x034c…4f69backed Mets49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Brewers41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.641751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.