MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5daccbb83b64e9035bc12d36a8a32e017f60e8da00b45a890ab17fbfd45c3b59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Orioles, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $983,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,012,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 43c | 708,861$308,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308,070.56 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 59c | 210,202$124,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,035.53 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cubs | 56c | 130,600$73,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,464 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 56c | 85,500$48,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,270 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 56c | 49,873$27,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,944.12 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 56c | 45,600$25,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,064 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 57c | 34,254$19,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,729.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 57c | 26,498$15,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,280.67 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 56c | 25,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 58c | 24,463$14,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.63 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 56c | 24,250$13,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,578 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 56c | 23,845$13,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.85 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cubs | 57c | 23,255$13,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.65 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 57c | 21,175$12,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,041.84 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 58c | 20,583$11,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.38 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Orioles | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 58c | 19,200$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,064 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Orioles | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 62c | 12,848$7,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 43c | 11,968$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.07 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 13c | 10,935$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 64c | 8,661$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Cubs | 76c | 8,464$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 26c | 6,720$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 61c | 6,037$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 57c | 5,300$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…e7bbbacked Orioles | 42c | 5,238$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 42c | 5,120$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.38 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cubs | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 29c | 4,898$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.32 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed Cubs | 58c | 4,828$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 58c | 4,639$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…5e70backed Orioles | 42c | 4,600$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cubs | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cubs | 58c | 3,888$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.96 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 77c | 2,792$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.21 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cubs | 57c | 2,700$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 23c | 2,597$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…a26ebacked Cubs | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…0931backed Cubs | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Cubs | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 57c | 2,403$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,370$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 74c | 2,352$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.4 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 42c | 2,219$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 34c | 1,759$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Orioles | 3c | 1,626$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Cubs | 57c | 1,439$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,105$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.05 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 74c | 1,058$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 41c | 1,041$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.81 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 58c | 1,012$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.56 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Cubs | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 57c | 937$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Cubs | 79c | 715.97$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Orioles | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cubs | 56c | 691.69$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Orioles | 34c | 601.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 50c | 599.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 57c | 598.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Cubs | 58c | 596.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Cubs | 79c | 595.04$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…3b48backed Cubs | 58c | 581.55$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Orioles | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 58c | 537.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 60c | 500$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Orioles | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cubs | 58c | 476$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cubs | 57c | 432.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.96 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…cd24backed Cubs | 49c | 410.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Orioles | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Orioles | 25c | 398.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 26c | 387.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Orioles | 17c | 364.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Cubs | 58c | 362.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 43c | 353.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 40c | 351.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 42c | 349.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 42c | 346.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs | 72c | 302.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Orioles | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Cubs | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…0bd8backed Cubs | 73c | 282.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 27c | 256.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cubs | 58c | 244.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Orioles | 43c | 233.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 56c | 229.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.