NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4367fd7921fe1545845e54bde5044c71d18843e5e62ad8bd405f06d51d495aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,853,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,911,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,853,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Panthers | 58c | 184,548$107,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,037.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Oilers | 42c | 152,999$64,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,739.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Oilers | 42c | 124,868$52,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,423.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 0c | 107,006$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Oilers | 50c | 95,287$47,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,084.05 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 58c | 95,285$55,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,265.3 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers | 57c | 67,940$38,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,446.71 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…7170backed Panthers | 58c | 56,120$32,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,712.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Panthers | 59c | 54,199$31,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,752.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Oilers | 46c | 52,410$24,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,055.62 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Oilers | 43c | 51,246$21,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,416.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Panthers | 72c | 50,907$36,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,778.46 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers | 58c | 35,000$20,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,149.97 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Panthers | 58c | 30,492$17,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,746.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Oilers | 41c | 27,752$11,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,259.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers | 49c | 27,510$13,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,995.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Oilers | 42c | 24,237$10,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,057.75 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Oilers | 42c | 24,031$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,823.38 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 58c | 20,474$11,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,875.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4e69backed Panthers | 58c | 17,217$9,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Oilers | 31c | 16,476$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,388.41 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 42c | 15,999$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,279.41 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Panthers | 59c | 15,754$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,294.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 54c | 15,123$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.95 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Panthers | 63c | 13,000$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,209.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 58c | 12,606$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.97 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Panthers | 58c | 10,287$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Oilers | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Panthers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers | 58c | 10,000$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.92 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers | 58c | 9,116$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.34 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 56c | 8,279$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.66 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 57c | 8,173$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.8 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Panthers | 55c | 8,071$4,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 10c | 8,000$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.73 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Panthers | 58c | 7,914$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers | 58c | 7,609$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.22 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 49c | 7,551$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Oilers | 25c | 7,505$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers | 42c | 6,683$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.33 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 33c | 6,146$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.24 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Panthers | 66c | 6,110$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Oilers | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Oilers | 42c | 5,946$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Oilers | 40c | 5,798$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Oilers | 42c | 5,660$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 58c | 5,200$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Panthers | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Oilers | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 42c | 4,723$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.33 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Oilers | 42c | 4,693$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.7 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 57c | 4,666$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.19 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Oilers | 49c | 4,413$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers | 27c | 4,324$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.73 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Oilers | 43c | 4,112$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Oilers | 44c | 4,052$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.96 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Oilers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Panthers | 59c | 3,815$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Panthers | 59c | 3,800$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Oilers | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 45c | 3,472$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers | 42c | 3,430$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Panthers | 57c | 3,420$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.16 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Oilers | 43c | 3,356$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Oilers | 43c | 3,342$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.86 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Oilers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Panthers | 62c | 2,961$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.79 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Oilers | 36c | 2,913$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.05 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Oilers | 43c | 2,710$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Panthers | 80c | 2,534$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.59 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Panthers | 41c | 2,528$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Oilers | 43c | 2,524$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers | 77c | 2,502$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.28 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Oilers | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 68c | 2,459$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.71 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Oilers | 35c | 2,400$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.8 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Panthers | 58c | 2,379$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Oilers | 65c | 2,367$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.23 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.82 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Oilers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Oilers | 14c | 2,269$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Oilers | 31c | 2,255$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Oilers | 15c | 2,133$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Oilers | 48c | 2,029$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Panthers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Panthers | 40c | 1,998$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Panthers | 53c | 1,924$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 46c | 1,819$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Panthers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Panthers | 3c | 1,577$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Oilers | 34c | 1,562$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Oilers | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Panthers | 58c | 1,498$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Panthers | 53c | 1,443$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Oilers | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.