TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9711…3fa1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,063.41
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$478.75
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$384.55
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+25%+$50
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$4,083.37
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,828Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+160.4%+$2,932.11
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+173.1%+$326.4
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+182.5%+$1,421.89
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$232
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$458.52
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$234
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$458.08
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$625.81
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,645.37
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$923.9
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$69.33
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$549
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,321.2
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$611.26
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+59.1%+$1,073.38
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+30.7%+$547.68
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.13
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+264.3%+$293.02
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$470.34
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,955.26
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,048.2
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+57%+$1,229.99
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$1,055.01
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+31.6%+$17.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,372Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+51.5%+$1,222.12
Taylor vs. Serranobacked Taylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+96.1%+$734.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+36.2%+$188.47
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,327Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+31.1%+$1,035.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$91.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$1,254.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,217.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$743.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.