NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a9aa67f06b48eb3673516bf40266a94b47a7c403661f2a39ccd6d7b1f8fefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa165…6f85backed Thunder | 0c | 78,754$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Mavericks | 71c | 19,203$13,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.9 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Thunder | 67c | 17,566$11,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 45c | 11,886$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.59 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Thunder | 63c | 10,238$6,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Thunder | 54c | 9,075$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.19 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 64c | 8,276$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.75 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Thunder | 10c | 7,967$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.86 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 33c | 6,902$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.02 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Mavericks | 33c | 6,117$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.47 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Thunder | 34c | 5,860$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.98 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Thunder | 62c | 5,647$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Thunder | 64c | 5,500$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…b6ccbacked Mavericks | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…894bbacked Thunder | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 58c | 4,105$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.24 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,950$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 3,744$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.61 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Thunder | 42c | 3,538$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Mavericks | 70c | 3,226$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.01 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 5c | 3,099$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Mavericks | 27c | 3,047$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Thunder | 29c | 2,766$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.95 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mavericks | 36c | 2,426$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.95 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,987$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.33 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…bbadbacked Thunder | 72c | 1,832$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…3e46backed Mavericks | 28c | 1,809$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,630$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.59 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,587$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 27c | 1,369$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,317$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.69 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,291$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.14 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Thunder | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Thunder | 18c | 1,030$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Thunder | 54c | 1,009$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…a0ecbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,001$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Mavericks | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Thunder | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Thunder | 67c | 959.78$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Mavericks | 35c | 914.43$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Mavericks | 33c | 905.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.46 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Mavericks | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder | 67c | 801.65$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Thunder | 44c | 735.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Mavericks | 46c | 701.83$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed Mavericks | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks | 48c | 646.69$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Mavericks | 39c | 641.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Thunder | 51c | 630.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Mavericks | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Mavericks | 61c | 593.64$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Thunder | 51c | 552.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…d659backed Mavericks | 56c | 540.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Thunder | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 518.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Mavericks | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 38c | 509.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.66 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Thunder | 4c | 508.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Thunder | 69c | 501.04$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.72 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed Thunder | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…b297backed Thunder | 67c | 488.71$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 456.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 36c | 453.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Mavericks | 29c | 440.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Thunder | 69c | 434.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Thunder | 49c | 418.7$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…220cbacked Mavericks | 60c | 417.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Thunder | 64c | 409.25$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Mavericks | 79c | 377.33$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Thunder | 69c | 375.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…db5ebacked Mavericks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…5b99backed Mavericks | 58c | 328.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…442dbacked Mavericks | 62c | 320.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Thunder | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Thunder | 23c | 317.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…0f47backed Mavericks | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 63c | 304.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Mavericks | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Thunder | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks | 65c | 294.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Mavericks | 38c | 279.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Mavericks | 39c | 277.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 29c | 262.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Thunder | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Thunder | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…888dbacked Mavericks | 56c | 247.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb2…0464backed Thunder | 6c | 238.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Mavericks | 35c | 238.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Thunder | 57c | 236.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 32c | 226$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.