NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93db9ca675f2f902c173f5dd212c57a02576620bd61f9535d2b22a433428396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Hawks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Hawks | 2c | 40,045$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.83 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks | 13c | 17,336$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.93 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 0c | 8,378$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Hawks | 24c | 7,990$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Hawks | 8c | 6,716$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Warriors | 75c | 6,623$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 6c | 4,882$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Warriors | 74c | 4,800$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 75c | 4,797$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.19 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 74c | 4,535$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.98 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Warriors | 76c | 4,100$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Hawks | 25c | 4,081$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Hawks | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Hawks | 8c | 3,562$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 25c | 3,077$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 25c | 3,065$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Hawks | 13c | 2,965$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 26c | 2,619$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.91 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawks | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks | 24c | 2,007$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hawks | 8c | 1,967$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 12c | 1,851$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Hawks | 17c | 1,793$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Warriors | 76c | 1,719$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…4629backed Hawks | 1c | 1,555$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 3c | 1,502$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Hawks | 26c | 1,407$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Hawks | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Warriors | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Hawks | 26c | 1,220$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Warriors | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Hawks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Warriors | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Warriors | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Warriors | 79c | 976.62$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Hawks | 24c | 881.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 15c | 877.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Hawks | 25c | 866.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…ff86backed Warriors | 75c | 693.07$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…8640backed Hawks | 26c | 693.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 22c | 620.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Warriors | 75c | 537$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Hawks | 24c | 536.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Hawks | 24c | 520.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Warriors | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Hawks | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Warriors | 76c | 490$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Hawks | 24c | 490$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Warriors | 78c | 438.94$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Hawks | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…c1a8backed Hawks | 11c | 399.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Hawks | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Hawks | 5c | 394.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Hawks | 8c | 368.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…47f8backed Hawks | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Hawks | 12c | 337.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Warriors | 74c | 333.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Hawks | 24c | 329.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c772backed Hawks | 25c | 308.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Warriors | 77c | 306.03$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…6c15backed Warriors | 75c | 302.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Warriors | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 75c | 226.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hawks | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Warriors | 76c | 221.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…542fbacked Warriors | 75c | 210.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5df8backed Hawks | 25c | 209.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Warriors | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Warriors | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Hawks | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Warriors | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Hawks | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Warriors | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed Hawks | 10c | 152.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…b922backed Warriors | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Hawks | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…a65ebacked Warriors | 75c | 148.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Warriors | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hawks | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Warriors | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcc…a7a7backed Warriors | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Warriors | 78c | 129.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Warriors | 75c | 128.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…62aabacked Warriors | 76c | 128.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…857cbacked Hawks | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 22c | 124.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.