TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb90d…7db5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
415
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 309 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.62
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$98.18
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$26.4
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$375.29
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+53.2%+$10.64
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+45.3%+$34.27
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Showing 25 of 309 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST3040%12 W · 18 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$267.71
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$19.2
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$72
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+69.5%+$38.49
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$79
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$59
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.3%+$164.94
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$79
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+25%+$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+29.9%+$3.88
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+42.9%+$23.57
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+117.9%+$53.07
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2875%21 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+72.4%+$42
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$33.2
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$29
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$30
Dolphins vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+69.5%+$41
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+27.1%+$32
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+35.1%+$26
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+66.7%+$225.29
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+26.1%+$45.09
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+35.1%+$26
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+58.7%+$37
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58.7%+$37
Titans vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$79
Lions vs. Coltsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+28.2%+$22
Texans vs. Cowboysbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$955.49
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$346.1
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+38.9%+$28
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+50.9%+$33.62
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$35
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+37%+$27
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$76
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+42.5%+$29.76
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+28.2%+$22
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$54.08
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$236.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$90.67
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.82
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+222.2%+$101.37
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Anyone's Legend win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$106.89
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$13.4
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+31.6%+$477.57
Clemson vs. SMUbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+29.9%+$97.12
Kansas State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Memphis vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$288.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.