MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99d6be330ab1689e99920af5048491757239d053944304af4e16ab997412a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 41c | 30,348$12,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,405.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 45c | 28,057$12,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,543.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 48c | 22,831$10,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,872.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…f9c9backed Reds | 53c | 7,653$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 53c | 7,203$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.27 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Reds | 31c | 7,157$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.42 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.94 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 40c | 5,867$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Reds | 48c | 5,797$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.52 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 49c | 5,149$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.55 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 46c | 4,838$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.25 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Pirates | 48c | 4,708$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 53c | 4,437$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.44 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 67c | 3,724$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.87 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Pirates | 47c | 3,652$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.54 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Reds | 54c | 3,652$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pirates | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 41c | 3,341$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,203$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.52 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 51c | 2,991$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.92 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 46c | 2,944$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.76 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 44c | 2,733$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 60c | 2,350$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.07 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Pirates | 70c | 2,129$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.44 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Pirates | 47c | 2,015$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Reds | 53c | 2,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.6 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 42c | 1,944$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Reds | 70c | 1,869$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.48 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reds | 33c | 1,460$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.18 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 52c | 1,405$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 43c | 1,403$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.72 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Reds | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Reds | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Pirates | 78c | 1,300$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 48c | 1,256$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 43c | 1,198$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.15 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 23c | 1,139$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,119$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.12 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 47c | 1,100$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 35c | 1,054$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.1 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Reds | 51c | 1,030$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.32 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…c877backed Reds | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 52c | 957.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Pirates | 64c | 935.12$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 55c | 850.86$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.77 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pirates | 54c | 843.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.37 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 71c | 807.88$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Reds | 51c | 796.62$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Reds | 52c | 769.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Reds | 15c | 650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Reds | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 16c | 552.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 46c | 544.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Reds | 43c | 539.74$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 58c | 529.32$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 46c | 525.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.55 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Reds | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…5677backed Pirates | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pirates | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…1666backed Reds | 55c | 486.84$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Reds | 21c | 472.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Reds | 25c | 443.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Reds | 17c | 435.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Pirates | 60c | 421.85$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Reds | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Reds | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Reds | 16c | 355.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Reds | 22c | 355$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Pirates | 45c | 326.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…f0d5backed Pirates | 49c | 323$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…b25dbacked Pirates | 49c | 315$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…baa0backed Pirates | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Reds | 48c | 305.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds | 23c | 303.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pirates | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Pirates | 57c | 287.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…b3babacked Pirates | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Reds | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Pirates | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…794abacked Pirates | 48c | 248.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 17c | 235.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pirates | 38c | 230.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…6040backed Pirates | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…15d7backed Pirates | 79c | 226.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Pirates | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 60c | 224.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Reds | 25c | 222.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Reds | 50c | 221.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Reds | 61c | 217.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 52c | 209.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.