TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1d…7a12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$299
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$83.4
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$174.89
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.25
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$47.16
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$10.32
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$24.2
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.3
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$63.75
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+127.6%+$161.96
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.4
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$57.58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$63.22
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$22
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.83
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.6
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$140.6
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$110.37
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+186.8%+$200.79
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$30.43
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$96.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.9
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.8
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$87.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$47.22
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$30.44
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.9
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$52.3
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+65.4%+$79.44
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$165.79
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120.1
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$121.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+212.5%+$41.44
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+206.6%+$86.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$203
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+135.6%+$404.68
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$90.67
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$203
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$62.76
Spread: BUF (-17.5)backed MIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$27.86
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$19.43
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$128.92
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$34.22
Bears vs. Chiefs backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.5
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$802.6
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$273.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$92.13
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$172.06
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60.11
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$54.44
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.6
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$26.88
Will Girona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$78.89
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+57.4%+$169.29
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$29.74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$203.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$97.31
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$128.41
Will Inter Milan beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$48.4
Will Real Madrid beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$78.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$21.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.79
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.