MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f395174722239aca4b3c9ada3210c4ae07cad2638af8a1214021a334699d59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 31c | 183,953$57,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,238.24 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 69c | 88,500$60,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,815 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 68c | 40,000$27,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,350 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 32c | 37,133$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,371.62 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 68c | 20,197$13,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,707.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 58c | 19,619$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…f9c9backed Phillies | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 51c | 11,591$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 46c | 9,856$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.28 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Twins | 31c | 9,587$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.83 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 31c | 8,750$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.5 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 66c | 8,584$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies | 34c | 8,111$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.19 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Phillies | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 33c | 8,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 49c | 5,870$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.05 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Twins | 32c | 4,400$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Phillies | 23c | 3,903$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Twins | 58c | 3,432$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.14 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Phillies | 67c | 3,104$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.65 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 65c | 2,940$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.31 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Phillies | 69c | 2,800$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 2,574$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Phillies | 66c | 2,450$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 63c | 2,116$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.32 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 67c | 2,094$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.98 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Phillies | 69c | 1,932$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.58 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Twins | 32c | 1,903$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Phillies | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Phillies | 68c | 1,477$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.27 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 64c | 1,452$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.4 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Phillies | 69c | 1,253$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.57 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 1,171$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 35c | 1,072$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Phillies | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 16c | 859.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 61c | 822.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Twins | 32c | 761.69$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.95 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 34c | 750$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 64c | 744.72$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Twins | 35c | 737$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.05 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Twins | 61c | 699.66$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 3c | 684.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Twins | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Twins | 35c | 616$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 34c | 536.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Phillies | 61c | 493.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Phillies | 52c | 457.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phillies | 44c | 422.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 31c | 396.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 44c | 354.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 48c | 331.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Twins | 45c | 329.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Twins | 52c | 323.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Phillies | 68c | 305.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 632 | 52.7%333 W · 299 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 66c | 298.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Twins | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Phillies | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Twins | 77c | 276.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Twins | 32c | 275$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Twins | 32c | 275$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Twins | 59c | 254.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Twins | 34c | 249.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Phillies | 69c | 246.91$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Phillies | 45c | 246.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,400 | 55.1%772 W · 628 L | -29.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Phillies | 30c | 230.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Phillies | 10c | 221.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Phillies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Phillies | 43c | 210.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 67c | 203.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Phillies | 55c | 201.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Twins | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 61c | 192.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Phillies | 68c | 188.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Phillies | 10c | 188.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 69c | 169$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Phillies | 66c | 167.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Phillies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Phillies | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Twins | 65c | 145.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Phillies | 58c | 116.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 59c | 116.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.