TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8f7…039abacked No50c5,729$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No52c3,009$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.4115516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes39c2,022$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.881752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0692…10fbbacked Yes50c2,001$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5786…122fbacked Yes51c1,653$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc258…447bbacked Yes51c1,487$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes49c1,472$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes48c1,447$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.513444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No77c1,003$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.713345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No52c1,000$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.155259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes38c985.29$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No52c820.42$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.211049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c720.15$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c656.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked No50c573.67$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes35c409.19$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes50c401.8$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef7…cbf7backed No52c385.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes52c384.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.062835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes31c341.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0290…97c7backed Yes48c330.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b8…c769backed Yes47c300.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…314bbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes48c289.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Yes52c284.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes49c257.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No51c255.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.212338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No52c201$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No49c193.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9229545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No57c175.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked No53c172.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+71.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes21c160.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c152.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0343255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes49c138.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.674951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…4f0abacked No50c134.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a5…6638backed No49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes50c123.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859c…91ffbacked Yes49c121.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce21…c5c0backed Yes50c119.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No79c116.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5419461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb1…dd7abacked Yes51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No75c99.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b7…38cdbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes52c97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.448939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes30c93.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.026319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b82…64bcbacked Yes51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb762…1931backed No49c91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ca…b09cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a37…4dbfbacked Yes51c85.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce3…80d3backed Yes51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f49…b2b2backed Yes51c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d4…10bfbacked No49c81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfab…2229backed Yes52c74.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6080…9dcbbacked Yes52c73.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59af…113bbacked No48c71.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…d1dabacked No49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7436…2b56backed Yes51c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a87…5f0bbacked No51c69.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51c…6b2cbacked Yes51c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad3…b848backed No51c67.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0a…ece2backed No49c63.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes41c61.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5498…0346backed No49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2468…5a76backed Yes51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e2…a2a3backed Yes51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…828abacked No49c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa44…fc80backed Yes52c58.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36d…f0efbacked Yes52c57.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d9c…8862backed No49c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…791ebacked No49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc708…c299backed Yes51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29fc…e36cbacked No49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes50c50.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4b…2746backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90b…37b3backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8a…24a4backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc0…e258backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e2…9455backed Yes51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e2…b07dbacked Yes50c47.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No48c47.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf96…531dbacked Yes51c46.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3875…b1b2backed Yes52c45.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6e…dca6backed Yes45c45.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes24c45.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce56…2413backed No48c45.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3f…0218backed Yes52c45.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c4…8c31backed No48c45.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1189…b23cbacked Yes53c44.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…d7b7backed No52c44.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.