La Liga · resolved market
Will the match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe942176b5dff4d07980b87d0b23c8e9271d4a1495a62bad275220b95dc8a8626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 10,539$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 73c | 1,313$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 1,283$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 31c | 823.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 592.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 70c | 574.1$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 45c | 448.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 25c | 104.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 93.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 58c | 91.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…db5ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…50c7backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 31c | 32.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 54c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…e103backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…0df5backed No | 50c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…50dfbacked Yes | 50c | 22.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 22.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…bc11backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…441dbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…3250backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?No won
- Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.