TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc64e…3cdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT6628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leicester vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brentford win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+368.1%+$86.48
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Ipswich vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Liverpool vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.1
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.9
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.3
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48.88
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49.8
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT4032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$60.2
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.33
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.26
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.1
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villabacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$44.3
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.9
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$195.07
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$56.1
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+190.5%+$45.9
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.07
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$40.99
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$28.4
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.02
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+280.4%+$51.6
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$58.7
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+280.7%+$191.7
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+426.6%+$130.74
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+296.2%+$126.69
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50.1
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.