La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e171ec5a23c940d116ab18d844b57aaa98a6f48a95b9ae6af7869a658b3566f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 80c | 3,029$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.86 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 1,774$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 5c | 1,177$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,055$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…faaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…fc19backed Yes | 22c | 985$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…52ddbacked No | 78c | 985$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed Yes | 22c | 985$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…a651backed No | 79c | 835.2$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 20c | 782.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 732.73$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 23c | 565.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…7ac9backed Yes | 10c | 501.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 21c | 489.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 79c | 443.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…e520backed Yes | 23c | 426.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…5c37backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 22c | 320$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 6c | 314.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 26c | 307.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 9c | 305.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 19c | 264.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…4ca1backed Yes | 8c | 243.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 16c | 236.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 23c | 221.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…c894backed Yes | 23c | 215.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 26c | 193.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…90a1backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 26c | 130.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 13c | 107.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 14c | 101.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…ea89backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…db7cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…08e0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…d0b8backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…0dd3backed Yes | 23c | 86.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 83.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Yes | 21c | 75.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…a6d0backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 25c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 47.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed No | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…b62cbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…ff8fbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…8d3bbacked No | 80c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.