TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7141…de63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+89%+$17.26
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.14
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.76
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$22.08
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.67
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.3%+$10.58
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+54.6%+$32.75
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.38
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+153.5%+$61.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$19.78
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+146%+$20.44
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$15.7
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DRXbacked BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.17
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+82.7%+$9.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$10.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.