TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2048…f572backed No63c40,525$25,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,958.599046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes35c27,076$9,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,476.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…d501backed No75c6,672$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.242619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc5…484dbacked Yes55c6,436$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c6,403$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.36116.4%10 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes31c6,256$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes43c6,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55013023.8%31 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No48c5,568$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.6813422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x248d…9a97backed Yes24c5,002$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes28c4,601$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.092317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c4…0926backed No66c4,321$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.622653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd678…cf66backed No77c4,027$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9edd…150abacked Yes0c3,547$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b25…73b4backed Yes29c3,448$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.391450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaf…2833backed Yes2c3,366$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662512%3 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed65…ce13backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid+15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x317d…8812backed Yes16c2,824$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No67c2,669$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8456…01abbacked No73c2,659$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No69c2,654$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.920551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Yes2c2,632$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No78c2,592$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.434763.8%30 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x395e…dec7backed Yes39c2,494$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6670%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes19c2,375$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9110320.4%21 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x544e…df41backed Yes19c2,216$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No60c2,171$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.299442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c1,943$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.263283%10 W · 318 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc077…3579backed No62c1,894$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe730…e424backed Yes8c1,842$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.166934.8%24 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a14…b9a8backed Yes16c1,821$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6349…e53cbacked Yes14c1,800$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…2fe4backed Yes3c1,776$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes21c1,766$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.496431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd5…112bbacked Yes3c1,696$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9280%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c1,668$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.152541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed Yes24c1,584$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.343444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes26c1,503$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.56618.2%5 W · 56 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-82%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ac6…7371backed Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9936…c1a9backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c1,441$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.021190.8%1 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes2c1,315$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7601.7%1 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No67c1,309$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2710340.8%42 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7727…8a2dbacked No79c1,268$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes2c1,157$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.581122.7%3 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes18c1,136$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004415.9%7 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes44c1,128$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.684938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c1,125$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182094.3%9 W · 200 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes2c1,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes36c1,077$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.722330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…ac31backed Yes11c1,067$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec3…7fd2backed Yes20c1,017$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5b…2903backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…fe49backed No60c995$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d06…00d4backed No72c974.1$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.84468.2%30 W · 14 L+12.3wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x331f…b2e3backed Yes21c950$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa2…672fbacked No65c943.35$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70a…692ebacked Yes22c911.14$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Yes38c911.06$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.744025%10 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x148e…bb48backed Yes2c907.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…f560backed No65c888$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed No77c877.66$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.934744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes26c857.89$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes5c836.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52773.9%3 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes28c833.02$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ae…772dbacked Yes24c829.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.51060%6 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+59.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes1c816.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109422.3%21 W · 73 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No14c815$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.214732%47 W · 100 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes21c799.97$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.992611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes2c738.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29254%1 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-93.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes22c699.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No70c689.54$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.544959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d2…2ef7backed Yes30c684.37$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.37263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7e…b9a2backed Yes16c660$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041c…70fabacked Yes39c643.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-87.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81a6…cd1dbacked Yes27c559.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e9…89f6backed Yes17c530$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-77.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10932.2%2 W · 91 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010948.6%53 W · 56 L+11.9wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+54%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554219%8 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed No73c499.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.855633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes20c493.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No64c487.2$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0210462.5%65 W · 39 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd09…9c71backed No76c467$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.08862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf3…b401backed Yes25c409.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No75c400$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027621.1%16 W · 60 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6174…fbcabacked No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605416.7%9 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…1453backed Yes16c399.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc05f…9b56backed No62c387.1$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.19254.3%50 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da9…83d2backed No78c386.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes17c358.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.681915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-79.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No80c357.67$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.784358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.