Token Launches · resolved market
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60cf9bd0c42e6cd8e2288cd6f5c0ff57776f4b96b35e68cc2bb8bc06962a6f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 9c | 25,500$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 20,485$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.52 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…a414backed Yes | 18c | 13,952$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…1830backed No | 78c | 10,465$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 78c | 10,216$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 14c | 9,021$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.41 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…150abacked Yes | 14c | 8,457$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked No | 80c | 8,072$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…ac31backed Yes | 1c | 8,065$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 78c | 7,256$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.73 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…0009backed Yes | 15c | 6,951$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…218ebacked No | 78c | 6,675$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes | 19c | 5,935$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 69c | 5,383$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.1 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked No | 79c | 4,213$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4f…9962backed Yes | 22c | 3,969$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,857$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.33 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 79c | 3,813$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 14c | 3,800$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…576cbacked No | 75c | 3,756$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 25c | 3,732$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes | 30c | 3,379$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 35c | 3,125$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,121$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…111cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed Yes | 5c | 2,895$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…cf66backed No | 79c | 2,691$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…803cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,606$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…6aebbacked Yes | 21c | 2,600$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,540$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…b35bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,538$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 20c | 2,344$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…1c11backed Yes | 24c | 2,292$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed Yes | 20c | 2,074$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 20c | 1,997$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.87 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa3…538dbacked No | 75c | 1,993$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 78c | 1,976$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…e2d3backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 22c | 1,781$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…1483backed No | 66c | 1,756$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…b6d7backed No | 79c | 1,635$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…1a89backed Yes | 4c | 1,550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 69c | 1,511$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6981backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…4141backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…1fd8backed Yes | 34c | 1,490$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 74c | 1,318$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…5d10backed Yes | 18c | 1,300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 79c | 1,295$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…26c4backed Yes | 22c | 1,257$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dc…94acbacked Yes | 11c | 1,251$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,249$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.4 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…b70abacked Yes | 27c | 1,212$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…fb17backed Yes | 9c | 1,211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked No | 64c | 1,168$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…6ccdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,096$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed Yes | 20c | 1,077$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 29c | 1,069$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.84 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…2c7cbacked No | 79c | 1,054$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9f1cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,041$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 75c | 1,033$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…509fbacked No | 80c | 1,025$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…114abacked No | 80c | 1,000$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…438bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…959fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…dbe1backed Yes | 25c | 996.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…8c72backed No | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 19c | 900$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…c7f1backed Yes | 23c | 873.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 19c | 858.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 72c | 852.47$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 851.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Yes | 24c | 820$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 7c | 800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…4982backed Yes | 21c | 800$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 799.99$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…c465backed Yes | 17c | 784.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 6c | 753.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 745.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 68c | 731.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…c654backed Yes | 38c | 721$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…d6cebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 709.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 21c | 704.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…24babacked No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…3c6ebacked Yes | 17c | 699.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…d022backed Yes | 19c | 629$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…a86cbacked Yes | 19c | 627.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…3627backed Yes | 35c | 623.45$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.