TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,767,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,989,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,099 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02c5…8356backed Yes37c94,222$35,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,267.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa093…7b52backed No58c66,214$38,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,997.47333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…a414backed Yes27c56,162$14,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,931.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-80.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed Yes35c49,301$17,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,263.29046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No58c40,797$23,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,995.82339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…c465backed Yes38c38,779$14,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,900.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes46c30,880$14,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,311.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No56c27,118$15,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,811.817545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…005dbacked No65c24,880$16,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,732.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6c…54bfbacked Yes42c23,166$9,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,766.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4b…1b8bbacked Yes44c22,721$9,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,952.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9395…827abacked No65c21,779$14,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,546.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eda…75ddbacked No70c20,782$14,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes18c20,752$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.376217.7%11 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed No72c20,613$14,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.663444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No41c20,269$8,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,003.192871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1ccd…6a1dbacked No79c19,798$15,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1f…5317backed No71c19,563$13,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.831833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafa5…ae5abacked No54c18,750$10,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,653.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+98.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes5c18,561$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.275137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes45c18,221$8,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,285.682420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a7…f856backed Yes50c17,855$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x148e…bb48backed Yes38c17,486$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.9119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed No63c16,989$10,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,268.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc76…7842backed Yes16c16,852$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.85135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes0c16,512$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514139%16 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1681…b1c7backed No47c16,398$7,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,769.423060%18 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+53.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fb0…4141backed Yes35c15,570$5,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,464.33825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…de6bbacked Yes35c15,468$5,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,465.962321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…ade4backed No62c14,505$9,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.18560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+148.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x088f…c9e7backed No64c14,369$9,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,187.322236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x841f…806bbacked Yes30c14,002$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.343636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a63…4fc1backed No60c14,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7391…04b6backed No64c13,607$8,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,907.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked No56c12,931$7,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,658.185459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…7d62backed No71c12,441$8,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.961580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes46c12,373$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.3810045%45 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes21c11,935$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No78c11,282$8,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.8716247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes29c10,233$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.086116.4%10 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No62c10,095$6,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.939422.3%21 W · 73 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40012528%35 W · 90 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No58c9,627$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.934959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7727…8a2dbacked Yes52c8,577$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483d…0592backed Yes62c8,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes41c7,620$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.6710462.5%65 W · 39 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No74c7,602$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.274763.8%30 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed Yes32c7,561$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.155937.3%22 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes42c7,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97010143.6%44 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes48c6,888$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.351020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9c…a907backed No42c6,670$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfb…1b77backed Yes25c6,422$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.371711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c5…0d43backed No63c6,420$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.03933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc512…1a89backed No79c6,296$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.572556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes32c6,137$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.014847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90b…cb6cbacked No59c5,969$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.972254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…e4c7backed Yes20c5,940$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e50…487bbacked Yes9c5,878$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.941844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked No61c5,718$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.753834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes38c5,670$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.811942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes23c5,288$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.17231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2079…8327backed Yes52c5,249$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…2100backed No61c5,108$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.96650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a1…576cbacked No52c5,101$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…fe44backed Yes6c5,093$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.711428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No63c5,000$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.635040%20 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.992240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Yes52c4,765$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.4810763.6%68 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1580…2758backed Yes6c4,719$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.121020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fdc…1830backed No62c4,651$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1153…8e32backed No78c4,544$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc639…d483backed No66c4,528$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.781241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked No57c4,425$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes19c4,419$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.559747.4%46 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4345…7897backed No73c4,345$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fc…0853backed No61c4,069$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa53e…0009backed Yes38c4,022$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.843429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac1…0389backed No75c4,008$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.681861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes38c4,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.142317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2801540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes39c3,922$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.941216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d9…60f1backed No52c3,907$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.341283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+86.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked No55c3,896$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.881030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3d…218ebacked No65c3,862$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.591963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed No61c3,816$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.963452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x923d…2c28backed Yes23c3,739$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4f…9962backed No74c3,713$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eac…7cdcbacked No55c3,626$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.171241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes40c3,530$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.856431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bd9…c7f1backed Yes50c3,508$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.261618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c99…8627backed Yes39c3,506$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc310…1972backed Yes12c3,500$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4371145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf35…9362backed Yes30c3,500$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.362516%4 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+93%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773b…a9a8backed No58c3,443$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84a…d462backed No60c3,325$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc23…9297backed No70c3,322$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.081741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf53…c98fbacked Yes60c3,314$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf858…37d0backed No61c3,244$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb85…af9bbacked No64c3,210$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.