Token Launches · resolved market
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389504eba6315308f622ac6c1923cf6a716c23a0a0af67367182ad15c754de87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,160,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,272,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 43c | 82,901$35,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,291.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…54bfbacked Yes | 72c | 53,595$38,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,151.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 58c | 48,003$27,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,111.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…e134backed No | 6c | 47,352$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 52c | 44,147$23,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,019.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 1c | 40,378$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 24c | 40,281$9,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,611.16 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…8972backed Yes | 70c | 36,786$25,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,038.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 71c | 30,316$21,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,898.55 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…8327backed Yes | 77c | 30,280$23,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,078.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 9c | 25,793$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.12 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…7d62backed No | 35c | 23,217$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0d43backed No | 23c | 23,000$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…7b52backed No | 24c | 20,461$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…4af9backed No | 2c | 16,207$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked Yes | 50c | 16,069$7,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…f856backed No | 60c | 14,177$8,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,437.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…ff58backed No | 18c | 13,391$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…4141backed Yes | 65c | 13,261$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…827abacked No | 48c | 12,057$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes | 72c | 10,073$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Yes | 75c | 8,614$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked No | 33c | 8,404$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.07 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked No | 32c | 8,367$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…96cebacked No | 0c | 8,337$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 33c | 7,942$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.92 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed No | 33c | 6,080$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 32c | 6,014$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.84 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 30c | 5,860$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.86 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 46c | 5,324$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…653dbacked Yes | 76c | 5,213$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…778bbacked No | 44c | 5,126$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…6a1dbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 72c | 4,838$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.11 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 53c | 4,831$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.58 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…9297backed No | 29c | 4,815$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed Yes | 64c | 4,800$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed Yes | 66c | 4,733$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed No | 13c | 4,578$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 21c | 4,479$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 36c | 4,462$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.88 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c153backed No | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked No | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 60c | 4,150$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…0009backed Yes | 55c | 4,101$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.42 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked No | 21c | 4,053$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871d…c8a2backed Yes | 77c | 4,033$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 11c | 4,000$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.65 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,967$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed No | 44c | 3,782$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…a2fbbacked No | 54c | 3,764$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…2c28backed No | 55c | 3,760$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,658$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.14 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 65c | 3,565$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.25 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed No | 28c | 3,518$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked Yes | 72c | 3,321$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 30c | 3,303$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed Yes | 68c | 3,170$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 74c | 3,088$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.56 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 21c | 3,045$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…5992backed No | 36c | 2,965$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…af9bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,949$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,924$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 44c | 2,899$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.06 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…bdc8backed No | 38c | 2,874$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14d…d0e5backed No | 26c | 2,800$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked No | 32c | 2,788$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…ed17backed Yes | 76c | 2,750$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,699$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…c7f1backed Yes | 63c | 2,671$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.43 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 79c | 2,531$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.38 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…ff95backed Yes | 76c | 2,524$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 32c | 2,512$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.96 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed No | 35c | 2,506$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 68c | 2,493$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.34 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 27c | 2,425$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…a2edbacked No | 25c | 2,366$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 34c | 2,357$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 43c | 2,349$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce2…f6c2backed No | 28c | 2,284$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 28c | 2,248$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…dd48backed Yes | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f1…a9c7backed No | 27c | 2,134$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…13e8backed No | 37c | 2,102$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.27 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…643fbacked No | 12c | 2,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…087cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…afc0backed No | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 71c | 1,849$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.25 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 67c | 1,778$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 29c | 1,723$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…955dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,723$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…e879backed No | 29c | 1,723$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…a458backed No | 26c | 1,708$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…fcb3backed No | 62c | 1,700$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…b127backed No | 31c | 1,650$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.