Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a2a2ee34b2fab3635b81acf8c5c7330553240ee06a626d977420c7fd185f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,997,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,894,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,997,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa093…7b52backed No | 17c | 135,829$22,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,625.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 19c | 89,105$16,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,513.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 13c | 55,000$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.14 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 2c | 52,706$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…827abacked No | 20c | 50,551$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 5c | 44,163$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.22 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0d43backed No | 17c | 40,204$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,896.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…ade4backed No | 15c | 33,710$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 77c | 28,139$21,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…4af9backed No | 0c | 27,936$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 16c | 26,318$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce2…f6c2backed No | 16c | 25,006$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 66c | 21,000$13,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 30c | 20,835$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…47eabacked No | 13c | 17,656$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +117%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 14c | 17,426$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 4c | 17,018$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…e7c9backed Yes | 66c | 15,414$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…e879backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 13c | 13,830$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.38 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…0367backed No | 15c | 13,673$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed No | 20c | 13,499$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed No | 2c | 13,426$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…ae5abacked No | 25c | 12,295$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 11c | 11,156$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.61 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…d483backed No | 28c | 10,637$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…fb90backed No | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.3 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked No | 15c | 9,667$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 14c | 9,381$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 18c | 9,169$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.32 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked No | 19c | 9,032$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 10c | 8,964$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…dee0backed No | 17c | 8,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 24c | 8,588$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6b…1c60backed No | 15c | 8,570$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked No | 17c | 8,561$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.18 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed No | 8c | 8,450$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed No | 11c | 8,057$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…876abacked No | 0c | 7,355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 78c | 7,345$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.01 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…ce0cbacked Yes | 67c | 7,026$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.86 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f1…a9c7backed No | 8c | 6,587$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 17c | 6,387$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.02 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed No | 19c | 6,368$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 10c | 6,343$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked No | 16c | 6,291$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 16c | 6,267$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.63 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…d9aabacked No | 2c | 6,154$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked No | 10c | 5,903$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed No | 6c | 5,282$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 12c | 5,180$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.62 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 5,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…d462backed No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…643fbacked No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed No | 16c | 4,888$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c68…2ddcbacked No | 10c | 4,791$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 15c | 4,787$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed No | 14c | 4,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 10c | 4,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked No | 12c | 4,448$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2632backed No | 11c | 4,411$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 5c | 4,400$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…2e35backed No | 15c | 4,318$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked No | 14c | 4,273$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.91 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 29c | 4,101$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 10c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 10c | 4,000$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 8c | 3,967$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2e1fbacked No | 0c | 3,893$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 9c | 3,807$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…fb17backed No | 4c | 3,703$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 10c | 3,702$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 3,700$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed No | 9c | 3,693$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 14c | 3,686$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…b60abacked No | 8c | 3,573$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…218ebacked Yes | 70c | 3,400$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed No | 22c | 3,380$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 3,361$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…487bbacked No | 7c | 3,337$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,290$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 15c | 3,168$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 17c | 3,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed No | 15c | 2,906$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 71c | 2,899$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.9 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0d3backed Yes | 79c | 2,890$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 12c | 2,834$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b6f9backed Yes | 80c | 2,782$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 15c | 2,781$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed No | 16c | 2,743$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…9f59backed No | 11c | 2,702$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…af9bbacked No | 16c | 2,667$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed No | 17c | 2,641$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…a2edbacked No | 0c | 2,566$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 14c | 2,494$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ed…403ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,430$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…11ecbacked No | 12c | 2,333$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.