TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$744,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$780,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75e7…9080backed Yes2c50,592$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.996217.7%11 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No50c34,219$16,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,231.32339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed No29c26,429$7,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,714.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+138%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc76…7842backed No21c18,334$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,418.335135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes63c16,456$10,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,425.5513023.8%31 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked Yes37c16,300$6,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,046.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes9c16,265$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.042420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes3c15,898$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.826116.4%10 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…89cebacked Yes70c14,553$10,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,118.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…0926backed No32c13,016$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,887.972653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fc…0853backed No76c11,443$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes3c11,186$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.31612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-73.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes6c11,111$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.66785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick36cpaid+133.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes24c11,020$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6754847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…a414backed Yes3c10,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-80.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes79c7,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.97825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes7c6,335$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.737231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…b70abacked Yes5c5,333$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No34c4,484$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.3615539.4%61 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8456…01abbacked No25c4,241$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed No25c4,008$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.211968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x553b…12babacked No14c3,992$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed Yes69c3,773$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c5…0d43backed No41c3,644$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.12933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1b…4963backed Yes66c3,617$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0395…7a29backed Yes72c3,540$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes64c3,500$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.574219%8 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe730…e424backed Yes9c3,414$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.486934.8%24 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbbe…30bdbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes63c2,971$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.813938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edd…150abacked Yes2c2,825$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.03911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes64c2,807$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.771020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd76a…af9bbacked No75c2,774$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06f…6981backed No36c2,768$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.511513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No28c2,591$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.110462.5%65 W · 39 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd1bf…80dabacked No78c2,542$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.261952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…81cfbacked Yes54c2,470$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.493732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes5c2,400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.547919%15 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fef…24d6backed No24c2,291$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e81…5d10backed Yes5c2,257$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.522611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes4c2,239$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.354030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…cf9abacked No36c2,200$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.652755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…ade4backed No33c2,133$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+148.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No52c2,100$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2816247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c2,020$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.332541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7009442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked No12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7607514.7%11 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cc…0aaebacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ca…2632backed Yes4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No69c1,984$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.32871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c1,890$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.743283%10 W · 318 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…c654backed No13c1,888$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+116.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes5c1,859$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.11601.7%1 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes5c1,826$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221190.8%1 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes68c1,789$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+61.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked No34c1,766$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.743625%9 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No60c1,743$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6420551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a1…fb90backed No33c1,734$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.46825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30a…34afbacked Yes67c1,722$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed No35c1,684$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e5…c3ffbacked Yes73c1,660$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes5c1,600$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61122.7%3 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No32c1,595$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.714763.8%30 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a8a…e4cdbacked No17c1,562$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.682330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,545$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.97663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes5c1,536$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc077…3579backed Yes70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…d27cbacked No79c1,479$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes5c1,450$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.31452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes77c1,444$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.861968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x773b…a9a8backed No35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes70c1,425$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed No38c1,416$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.745657.1%32 W · 24 L+11.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+74.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed No30c1,342$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.423438.2%13 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+71.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes7c1,314$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d7…01f0backed Yes72c1,311$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes63c1,298$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.12317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No69c1,265$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.686159%36 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No14c1,260$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.1813131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25932.2%2 W · 91 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes68c1,201$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.552360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df0…6979backed No34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7923444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No29c1,197$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.914553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No78c1,170$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1310763.6%68 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No20c1,150$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.9910340.8%42 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e17…320dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9990%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf29e…841dbacked No16c1,038$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.733225%8 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x894e…fb17backed Yes3c1,011$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-75.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Yes27c1,007$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.534032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.033240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a2…dd48backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312528%35 W · 90 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes26c999.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3416740.7%68 W · 99 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf674…f4c8backed No33c991.87$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.553444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes13c976.6$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.48825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes26c972.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes66c908$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.273243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc60…85c9backed No34c880.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.373268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.3wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+96.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.