Token Launches · resolved market
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4b898f1ee3ef8fc48e06414d4b29e3be6912d18257a893fd8a69d26d7613485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $744,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 2c | 50,592$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.99 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 50c | 34,219$16,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,231.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed No | 29c | 26,429$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,714.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +138%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 21c | 18,334$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,418.33 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 63c | 16,456$10,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.55 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked Yes | 37c | 16,300$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed Yes | 9c | 16,265$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.04 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 3c | 15,898$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.82 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…89cebacked Yes | 70c | 14,553$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,118.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 32c | 13,016$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed No | 76c | 11,443$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 3c | 11,186$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 6c | 11,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 24c | 11,020$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…a414backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 79c | 7,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 7c | 6,335$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.73 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…b70abacked Yes | 5c | 5,333$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 34c | 4,484$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.36 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked No | 25c | 4,241$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 25c | 4,008$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…12babacked No | 14c | 3,992$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 69c | 3,773$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0d43backed No | 41c | 3,644$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…4963backed Yes | 66c | 3,617$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…7a29backed Yes | 72c | 3,540$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 64c | 3,500$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.57 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Yes | 9c | 3,414$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…30bdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 63c | 2,971$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.81 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…150abacked Yes | 2c | 2,825$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes | 64c | 2,807$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…af9bbacked No | 75c | 2,774$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6981backed No | 36c | 2,768$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.51 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 28c | 2,591$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.1 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked No | 78c | 2,542$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked Yes | 54c | 2,470$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.49 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…24d6backed No | 24c | 2,291$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…5d10backed Yes | 5c | 2,257$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,239$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 36c | 2,200$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…ade4backed No | 33c | 2,133$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 52c | 2,100$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.28 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 2,020$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…0aaebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2632backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 69c | 1,984$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,890$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…c654backed No | 13c | 1,888$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,859$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 1,826$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,789$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked No | 34c | 1,766$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.74 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 60c | 1,743$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.64 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…fb90backed No | 33c | 1,734$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…34afbacked Yes | 67c | 1,722$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed No | 35c | 1,684$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…c3ffbacked Yes | 73c | 1,660$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 32c | 1,595$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.71 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked No | 17c | 1,562$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,545$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,536$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…3579backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…d27cbacked No | 79c | 1,479$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 5c | 1,450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 77c | 1,444$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed No | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 70c | 1,425$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 38c | 1,416$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.74 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed No | 30c | 1,342$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 7c | 1,314$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed Yes | 72c | 1,311$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed Yes | 63c | 1,298$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.1 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 69c | 1,265$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 14c | 1,260$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,201$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 29c | 1,197$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 78c | 1,170$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 20c | 1,150$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…320dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…841dbacked No | 16c | 1,038$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.73 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…fb17backed Yes | 3c | 1,011$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 27c | 1,007$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…dd48backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 33c | 991.87$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 13c | 976.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes | 26c | 972.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 66c | 908$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed No | 34c | 880.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes won
- Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.