TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb24e…c0be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.83
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.78
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.45
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,992.99
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.54
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.17
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$40.4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+146.2%+$3,679.6
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,468.12
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,942Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.5%+$1,163.21
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+30%+$230.95
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$875.96
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+204.5%+$65.03
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,692.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$9,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$9,318.07
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,866Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.6%+$6,133.75
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.7%+$322.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,447Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+118.4%+$6,450.1
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$120.7
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.99
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,857.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.65
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$69.88
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,726.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$87.82
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$235.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$478
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$658.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$169.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.