Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7ef296394fed777ee3ca6168f479c08fa8f790e5cb01579059393453d3e7a4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof Aurora, MOUZ
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $632,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $644,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ	23c	166,578$37,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129,076.43	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ	17c	58,235$9,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,385.24	287	48.8%140 W · 147 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora	66c	52,111$34,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,393.26	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ	17c	35,266$5,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,270.83	115	47%54 W · 61 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ	17c	19,950$3,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,459.5	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Aurora	73c	17,278$12,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,600	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ	55c	15,287$8,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,918.05	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Aurora	68c	14,568$9,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,887.7	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed MOUZ	19c	13,150$2,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,653.32	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked MOUZ	27c	12,303$3,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,980.83	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Aurora	44c	11,345$5,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,026.86	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed MOUZ	18c	11,229$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,236.87	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ	17c	10,424$1,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,664.72	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Aurora	53c	9,441$4,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,965.91	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ	74c	7,144$5,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,837.74	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked MOUZ	18c	5,520$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,526.79	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ	18c	5,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,510	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora	27c	5,325$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.29	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Aurora	77c	5,268$4,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,062.31	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ	17c	5,000$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,149.98	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-16.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked MOUZ	13c	4,500$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,930	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ	17c	4,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,320	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Aurora	80c	3,445$2,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,746.49	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ	33c	3,023$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.2	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ	18c	3,000$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,445.76	227	27.3%62 W · 165 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed MOUZ	15c	2,881$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,462.09	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Aurora	29c	2,815$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.21	107	41.1%44 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Aurora	49c	2,641$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.87	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed MOUZ	31c	2,614$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,813.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+33%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ	22c	2,518$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.28	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora	47c	2,428$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.3	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora	74c	2,138$1,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.98	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ	77c	2,129$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.71	154	57.1%88 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed MOUZ	27c	2,100$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.09	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Aurora	74c	2,064$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.72	254	57.9%147 W · 107 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed MOUZ	27c	2,044$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.44	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Aurora	72c	1,980$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.07	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Aurora	14c	1,742$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.31	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora	44c	1,687$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.95	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Aurora	3c	1,645$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.69	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	31cpaid	-74%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Aurora	50c	1,608$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.73	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ	32c	1,575$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.56	213	46.5%99 W · 114 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ	26c	1,540$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.59	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Aurora	80c	1,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Aurora	69c	1,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	212	64.2%136 W · 76 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed MOUZ	27c	1,421$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.25	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed MOUZ	36c	1,373$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.89	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed MOUZ	12c	1,274$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.32	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…9773backed MOUZ	58c	1,253$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.71	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ	16c	1,250$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044.98	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ	46c	1,208$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.76	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ	75c	1,176$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.17	141	21.3%30 W · 111 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ	27c	1,153$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.92	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked MOUZ	18c	1,111$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.11	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ	18c	1,111$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.11	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ	47c	1,058$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.21	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ	26c	1,014$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.99	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ	19c	1,000$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed MOUZ	31c	956.76$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.76	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed MOUZ	9c	954.95$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.3	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked MOUZ	27c	902.52$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.84	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed MOUZ	22c	816.58$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.58	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora	62c	728.26$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.77	450	61.6%277 W · 173 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4169…5d25backed Aurora	40c	699.99$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Aurora	79c	699.99$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.99	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ	50c	699.23$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.08	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Aurora	73c	683.99$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.31	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked MOUZ	33c	680.59$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.31	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed MOUZ	5c	669.44$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.7	168	21.4%36 W · 132 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc6…7affbacked MOUZ	19c	649.17$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.62	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed MOUZ	60c	648.06$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.27	196	64.8%127 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed MOUZ	18c	630.77$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.23	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ	16c	624.97$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.73	562	43.2%243 W · 319 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Aurora	73c	600$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora	71c	600$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426	537	57.7%310 W · 227 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ	49c	568.03$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.28	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+11.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed MOUZ	18c	565.6$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.79	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed MOUZ	18c	551.84$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.51	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Aurora	18c	545.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	201	56.7%114 W · 87 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Aurora	74c	540.54$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	234	59%138 W · 96 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Aurora	67c	540$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.8	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf597…efeebacked MOUZ	17c	534.26$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.26	92	23.9%22 W · 70 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed MOUZ	20c	534.2$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.36	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed MOUZ	17c	528.31$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.71	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Aurora	70c	515.71$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	161	60.2%97 W · 64 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked MOUZ	42c	507.22$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.21	84	61.9%52 W · 32 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Aurora	53c	502$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Aurora	12c	499.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed Aurora	41c	487.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Aurora	37c	469.98$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.79	243	45.3%110 W · 133 L	+15.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed MOUZ	17c	458.74$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.75	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Aurora	72c	430.99$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.03	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	64cpaid	-37%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora	11c	419.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	312	45.8%143 W · 169 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Aurora	73c	411.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.44	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked MOUZ	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+7.9wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora	74c	398.65$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	581	52.5%305 W · 276 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ	26c	395.97$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.02	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ	27c	387.07$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.56	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event