TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Vitality, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$953,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$950,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Vitality69c493,289$338,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338,505.23438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked G231c160,527$50,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,035.3742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed G231c150,000$46,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,50022049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed G232c121,060$38,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,731.424557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked G231c96,076$29,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,419.566160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked G232c50,775$16,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,310.227147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G232c40,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,199.8910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G233c34,965$11,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,576.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality68c31,842$21,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,804.9422468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b1…8801backed Vitality68c25,608$17,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,413.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G233c25,560$8,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,169.7183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G232c25,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,00033043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality68c24,511$16,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,667.2576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed G230c24,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.9825842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G231c21,974$6,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,161.4675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality69c20,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed G230c20,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.9823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality68c19,616$13,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,338.8833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed G233c14,397$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,645.998043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality70c14,042$9,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,819.5725751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Vitality70c14,029$9,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8204738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Vitality70c14,029$9,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8208552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed G231c10,337$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.7222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality13c9,306$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.563,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed G233c9,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,03035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G231c7,000$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality69c5,999$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.4818254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G233c5,855$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.8526952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Vitality67c5,038$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.514235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb3a…5998backed Vitality69c4,999$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.483455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Vitality66c4,712$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.459852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G231c4,574$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.8735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Vitality69c4,435$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.0814954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality68c4,399$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.8335236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e9…be4bbacked Vitality68c4,316$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.55850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality69c4,057$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.7738954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Vitality70c3,871$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.7311952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Vitality69c3,834$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.4631345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Vitality69c3,435$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.0827658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed G231c3,310$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.894032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality70c3,240$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.1278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed G232c3,207$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.954330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed G232c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed G245c3,065$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.156656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Vitality68c3,029$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.6811655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed G232c3,012$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.4812552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed G231c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0707537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality68c2,942$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.8355845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Vitality67c2,941$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.25947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Vitality68c2,933$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.161,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8b…6d27backed Vitality68c2,920$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality67c2,900$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94313044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed G233c2,879$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.216653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G231c2,809$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.0398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed G234c2,684$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.493638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed G233c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6756126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed Vitality68c2,134$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.849764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality68c2,116$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.8328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed G231c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38020249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked G231c2,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.9910058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Vitality69c1,982$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.551855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed G231c1,933$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.944643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Vitality68c1,587$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1129052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality69c1,565$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.5416248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845e…3ed3backed Vitality69c1,552$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed G233c1,550$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed G231c1,546$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.8322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G230c1,500$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0451,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Vitality66c1,474$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.0226443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Vitality68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Vitality68c1,447$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.749258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Vitality68c1,442$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.837445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality69c1,422$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Vitality69c1,422$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.417460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c19…6303backed Vitality67c1,412$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.313265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality67c1,324$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.3415363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Vitality68c1,309$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.7610252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Vitality69c1,294$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0715134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Vitality68c1,275$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.032774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked G233c1,245$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.427948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed Vitality69c1,166$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.752944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality67c1,078$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.411,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality67c1,037$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0735341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked G230c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Vitality67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9921945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality58c993.84$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.141,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality69c991.21$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9425941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Vitality69c981.4$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.171560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality68c980.8$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.9422358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed G233c930.72$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5816047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d98…e292backed Vitality67c921.88$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.882744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Vitality67c899.98$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.9831451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G231c887.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.711,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality67c882.18$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.0634742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality69c851.45$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.946165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Vitality68c779.43$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0512557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed G233c743.85$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3811135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Vitality66c742.12$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.87850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked Vitality68c730.7$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.873354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked G233c727.12$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.178324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.