TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf988…d63bbacked Over28c5,198$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.5435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c2,898$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.723,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over35c2,527$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.713,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Under22c2,215$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4529052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Under72c1,874$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.2765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under41c1,863$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.064,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over30c1,522$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.915,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…55fabacked Under71c1,363$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under31c1,334$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.623,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Under69c1,314$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.5675450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over77c1,280$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4136645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under70c1,011$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Under69c1,000$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68516355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Under72c764.29$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2952750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under28c757.09$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Under72c741.65$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9919642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Under71c682.35$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.477850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Over77c635.29$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Under18c631.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887b…bf0fbacked Over33c630.02$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Under71c623.3$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5436446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35514454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d58…de06backed Over33c408.36$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.872653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Under24c396.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under63c362.5$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.641,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under70c332.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0917853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2283…5fb1backed Over30c314.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c227.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over75c215.13$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.258450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over31c213.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2214929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over62c189.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.171,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over36c188.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.662,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Under74c166.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0532561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Over64c165.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1227556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over33c144.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.067650%38 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fff…923abacked Under70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.21747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a5…b9a9backed Under20c138.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.831020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed Under72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3238945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Over43c136.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.643548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Over75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.591,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Under36c94.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over41c94.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.871951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under71c80.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3535947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over51c73.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over33c72.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7213350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Under70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.137757.8%218 W · 159 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under57c70.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.935735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Under71c69.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.131540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5717…58b4backed Under72c68.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.162339.1%9 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under24c68.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6825042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over55c65.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.541,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Under18c65.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over35c62.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6647260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8883…e6d5backed Over29c59.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+115.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under26c57.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.663441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Under25c57.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.336333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under26c56.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4422534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Under71c55.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.345663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under70c53.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.326154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under35c52.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5345238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Under38c50.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…f35cbacked Under54c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Over31c49.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under51c47.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.195,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Under71c38.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2114262%88 W · 54 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under72c38.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.475543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c30.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Under71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.317617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under67c29.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6630…9944backed Under58c27.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8e…232dbacked Under72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.661656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…de03backed Under64c27.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0018…e6fbbacked Under70c25.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.562774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Under65c24.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0948052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over44c23.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1116461.6%101 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d78…e218backed Under63c23.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Under62c22.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over65c21.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d40…1841backed Under71c20.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Under72c20.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.754660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…f793backed Under72c20.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…26a6backed Under74c19.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under62c19.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0620646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…b75fbacked Under72c19.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fb…4f68backed Under71c18.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Over72c17.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under69c15.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8623851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.