TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7c0…f389

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT16936.1%61 W · 108 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$192.28
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$51.28
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$141.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$310
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$179.99
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$404.58
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.62
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,080
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$35.35
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.31
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+119%+$325.99
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.12
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.87
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,982.71
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.36
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.04
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.89
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 103.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.3
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.82
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$94.99
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+76%+$153.48
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57.05
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$74.57
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$107.2
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$170.87
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$151.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.98
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.64
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.9
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$167.65
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$376.46
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$716.73
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.8
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$136.5
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-71.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.