Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116360b5b0993bbbd5a12f30406a0edb17b370207213d415d071a05e61274d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,011$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.98 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,793$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.39 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 1,589$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.87 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,580$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.51 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,498$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,454$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.57 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,382$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.41 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 1,326$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.87 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,145$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.87 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 753.47$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 594$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 593.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 589.77$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 583.03$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 579.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 420.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 369.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 366.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 288$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 270$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 252.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 231.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp | 6c | 172.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 170.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 160.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 145.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 133.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 107.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 91.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 89.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 89.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 84.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 83.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 70.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…3398backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 53.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 44.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 44.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 32.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 31.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…0e98backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 29.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 23.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.