Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb07bc00c9f38cfb2ee6f908eb56f311004ef2cac9b94540091057d21a4b89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 46,146$25,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,756.97 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 7,456$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.01 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 6,384$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.2 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 5,987$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.8 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 4,200$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.5 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 3,815$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.46 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 3,783$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.34 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 3,480$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.66 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 3,002$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.49 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 2,927$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.22 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 2,713$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.24 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,470$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.67 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 2,213$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.53 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,803$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,433$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,416$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.33 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,268$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.23 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,179$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.01 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,155$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.17 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,126$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.56 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 1,047$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.28 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,000$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.04 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 952.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 898.56$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 831.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 15c | 759$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 694.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 679.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…673ebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…1db7backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 616.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…1c51backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 568.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 549$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 511.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 509.77$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…b5a4backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 460.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Karmine Corp | 8c | 430.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 429.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 408.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 397.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 389.66$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 347$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Karmine Corp | 26c | 302.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 298.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…9535backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 248.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 239.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 224.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 220$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 209.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 204.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 191.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 179.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 174.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 160.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 156.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 142.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 134.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 132.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…807ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 116.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 114.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 106.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…2ddfbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 102.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 92.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…7f85backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…45aabacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 86.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Karmine Corp | 16c | 82.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 79.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 76.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 75.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 73.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 69.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 67.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.