TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee6…07ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT15160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.87
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.22
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.93
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$117.32
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$80.91
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$18.23
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.9
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.24
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Habos Babos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.07
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.92
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$114.23
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$81.76
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$620.04
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.35
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.12
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+704.6%+$1,366.35
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.63
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.05
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$99.37
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.07
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.4
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$375.69
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$737.39
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.24
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$86.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$85.93
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$234.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$206.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$76.14
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$139.28
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$211.74
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$127.08
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$125.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$70.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.16
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.19
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.