TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof Evil Geniuses, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses50c22,324$11,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,054.9226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR63c16,675$10,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,221.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses52c9,660$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.140945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed MIBR49c9,570$4,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,871.691376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR65c5,080$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.0151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Evil Geniuses26c5,033$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d2…8850backed MIBR27c4,196$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Evil Geniuses60c4,104$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.5313355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses53c3,829$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses31c3,283$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.1728143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR60c3,202$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.0753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR42c2,806$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.6278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR73c2,394$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.8665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR40c2,150$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.6568949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Evil Geniuses49c1,416$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2212951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR74c1,236$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR19c1,137$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.391,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Evil Geniuses10c1,113$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f7…43d5backed Evil Geniuses28c1,095$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Evil Geniuses56c1,051$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2219656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR43c977.59$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR50c926.24$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.7253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked MIBR16c876.8$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.947433.8%25 W · 49 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Evil Geniuses60c857.5$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed MIBR76c821.38$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.387156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses26c778.56$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.71,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR73c768.94$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5446347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR46c764.04$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Evil Geniuses75c730.43$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8715160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed MIBR60c687.49$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR58c646.64$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses30c623.71$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed MIBR52c568.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9211445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses46c525.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed MIBR61c509.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9825555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed MIBR75c509$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.257655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked MIBR74c505.15$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.343060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Evil Geniuses24c500.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2420160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked MIBR73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed MIBR73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13563955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Evil Geniuses28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses27c499.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR71c486.64$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR13c417.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked MIBR50c400.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Evil Geniuses27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Evil Geniuses17c400$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1416033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Evil Geniuses72c389.87$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Evil Geniuses37c387.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.954932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed MIBR52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1857456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MIBR23c373.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0314454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed MIBR40c361.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5533346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Evil Geniuses29c335.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses60c300.18$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.21,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR37c293.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.411,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR30c290.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.261,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed MIBR64c249.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.38066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR52c248.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.331,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Evil Geniuses33c242.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.566850%34 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9827…e57cbacked Evil Geniuses51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Evil Geniuses44c228.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MIBR41c222.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Evil Geniuses68c217.32$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Evil Geniuses47c213.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked MIBR56c210$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.46251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked MIBR27c207.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.636636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Evil Geniuses40c185.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed MIBR72c183.31$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Evil Geniuses65c179.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed MIBR44c173.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.727044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Evil Geniuses65c165.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed Evil Geniuses61c164.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MIBR36c163.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7138548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed MIBR56c162.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked MIBR60c158.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5922440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses24c157.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.561,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MIBR44c153.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…4537backed MIBR29c150$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.13330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR57c139.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7328151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Evil Geniuses74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MIBR16c133.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6440731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Evil Geniuses52c131.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1111747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Evil Geniuses78c127.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed MIBR72c124.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2528252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed MIBR34c124.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.963834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed MIBR74c114.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.643348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0490733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked MIBR74c102.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9822539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed MIBR27c101.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2427956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked MIBR14c100.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.016639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR72c100.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Evil Geniuses24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed MIBR30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Evil Geniuses24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked MIBR50c96.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4427850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Evil Geniuses77c96.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Evil Geniuses24c95.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses48c92.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7174642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Evil Geniuses28c86.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Evil Geniuses49c82.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0965347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.