Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3648a7513919536ed7fcf5e950be2cf50a5ad7cf411256a506f02089e6825a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Evil Geniuses, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 67,171$13,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,339.88 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed MIBR | 80c | 39,176$31,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.11 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed MIBR | 80c | 31,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 25,528$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.97 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Evil Geniuses | 20c | 25,300$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MIBR | 79c | 19,880$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.77 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR | 80c | 16,806$13,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.2 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR | 75c | 14,811$11,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Evil Geniuses | 22c | 13,555$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed MIBR | 63c | 8,414$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.86 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Evil Geniuses | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Evil Geniuses | 25c | 6,439$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 55c | 4,159$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed MIBR | 79c | 3,782$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.76 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIBR | 77c | 3,771$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.49 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed MIBR | 80c | 3,650$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR | 56c | 2,855$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.27 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Evil Geniuses | 1c | 2,616$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Evil Geniuses | 5c | 2,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 1,998$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 1,888$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed MIBR | 79c | 1,806$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Evil Geniuses | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 1,710$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses | 38c | 1,664$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MIBR | 79c | 1,504$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked MIBR | 80c | 1,402$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked MIBR | 59c | 1,392$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Evil Geniuses | 12c | 1,383$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…32f1backed Evil Geniuses | 43c | 1,363$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 1,343$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed MIBR | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Evil Geniuses | 19c | 1,014$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked MIBR | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 999.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MIBR | 73c | 828.76$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Evil Geniuses | 21c | 775.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 766.12$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 644.82$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.9 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 619.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIBR | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR | 79c | 591.67$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 583.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 573.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d024backed Evil Geniuses | 8c | 567.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR | 48c | 533.7$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.87 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 533$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed MIBR | 60c | 503.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed MIBR | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed MIBR | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses | 19c | 495$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 485.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 473.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 473.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked Evil Geniuses | 18c | 459.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Evil Geniuses | 25c | 425.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR | 67c | 421.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Evil Geniuses | 22c | 420$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed MIBR | 71c | 417.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MIBR | 68c | 412.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MIBR | 79c | 405.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…8380backed MIBR | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Evil Geniuses | 23c | 366.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MIBR | 60c | 364.87$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 360$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed MIBR | 80c | 359.38$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Evil Geniuses | 11c | 354$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed MIBR | 66c | 353.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Evil Geniuses | 20c | 345.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIBR | 68c | 330.74$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 325.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MIBR | 55c | 313.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d594backed Evil Geniuses | 20c | 312.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed MIBR | 79c | 310.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR | 80c | 301.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked MIBR | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Evil Geniuses | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR | 63c | 297.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR | 79c | 297.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 70c | 291.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MIBR | 79c | 265.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf814…3388backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 261.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR | 79c | 253.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR | 80c | 251.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Evil Geniuses | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Evil Geniuses | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed MIBR | 80c | 226.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 61c | 219.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed MIBR | 80c | 209.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Evil Geniuses | 6c | 208.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 193.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…ecbebacked MIBR | 75c | 189.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked MIBR | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed MIBR | 80c | 160$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.