TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b0c…4d9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.34
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$21.57
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.29
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.1
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.47
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$32.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64.11
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.76
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.38
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$9.08
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.47
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.8
Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.58
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$60.25
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.4
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.04
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$36.85
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.87
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.59
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$45.85
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$41
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$30.03
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)backed FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$27.33
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)backed KF Valur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
KF Valur vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.01
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$20.39
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$41.83
Will FC København win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)backed AS Omónoia Leukosías · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)backed PFK CSKA Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.14
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX - Map 2 Winnerbacked REVENIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX - Map 1 Winnerbacked REVENIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Counter-Strike: Giant Pandas vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5backed Giant Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$44.07
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.17
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.45
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$15.61
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$23.89
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+253.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$25.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bristol City FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$18.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.