Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2906c57c79638a53896e0245de32ee5cc67bae310e60404998ab4f14287b0964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 2,303$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 34c | 1,491$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 74c | 1,455$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.43 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 1,295$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.85 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 14c | 1,204$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 1,195$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.78 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…f959backed Yes | 14c | 1,164$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 885$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 76c | 600$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.68 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 15c | 566.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 14c | 564.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 26c | 518.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 62c | 499.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 27c | 321.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Yes | 14c | 299.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 277.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 271.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 12c | 256$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 29c | 218.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 77c | 177.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 14c | 162.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 60c | 162.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 30c | 149.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 145.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 28c | 145$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 33c | 143.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 118.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 21c | 96.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Yes | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…41f3backed Yes | 76c | 62.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked No | 30c | 59.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 48c | 38.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 44c | 28.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Yes | 67c | 25.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.