Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbdc087a55c7b49967743b8687fc1d05f191dd1871b1d75525a32795ec9e102c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 51c | 11,000$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.45 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,781$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 2,110$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.06 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 1,860$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.96 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,660$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 48c | 1,510$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 1,173$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.23 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 49c | 1,076$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.05 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 1,048$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 65c | 1,004$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 758.84$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 619.23$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 412.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 391$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 290.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 63c | 267.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 48c | 206.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 51c | 175.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 175.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 171.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 51c | 148.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 144.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 49c | 126$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 109.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 108.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 36c | 102$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 100.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 36c | 99.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…2312backed Yes | 60c | 92.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 83.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 77.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 55c | 76.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 21c | 57.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 53c | 56.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 51c | 53.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 55c | 51.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 35c | 47.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 29c | 41.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked No | 52c | 40.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 44c | 35.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 53c | 34.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 50c | 33.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…981abacked No | 57c | 27.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 47c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 23.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 56c | 23.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 80c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 76c | 14.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.