Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea19466717fb8ef545d74a02b317ff179bd504427b23e8ed9b774f117b8d1319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 76c | 2,381$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,767$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,711$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.51 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,458$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,339$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 512.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 503.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 15c | 409.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 335.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 278.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 47c | 257.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 45c | 189.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 21c | 178$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 129.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 108.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 16c | 96.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 77c | 84.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 70.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 22c | 57.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 79c | 47.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b73backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.