Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab764156b9c02b9848a0241963167f6cb33e20b3af99a57950c5bee131f5fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Pcific Esports, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Pcific Esports | 15c | 7,389$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…ce83backed Pcific Esports | 7c | 6,116$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 5,000$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.54 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 3,664$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.99 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Pcific Esports | 14c | 3,000$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.03 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pcific Esports | 10c | 746.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Pcific Esports | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pcific Esports | 11c | 691.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Pcific Esports | 11c | 659.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Pcific Esports | 10c | 650.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Pcific Esports | 11c | 532.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Pcific Esports | 15c | 449.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Pcific Esports | 10c | 412.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 403.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Pcific Esports | 8c | 323.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Pcific Esports | 11c | 234.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Pcific Esports | 9c | 232.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Pcific Esports | 8c | 231$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…3b56backed Pcific Esports | 8c | 216.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…0d51backed Pcific Esports | 8c | 202.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Pcific Esports | 14c | 194.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Pcific Esports | 8c | 189.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Pcific Esports | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…b7b3backed Pcific Esports | 15c | 151.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Pcific Esports | 11c | 146.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 131.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Pcific Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Pcific Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed Pcific Esports | 12c | 84.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pcific Esports | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.