MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3487dd5a4c4c5d9488f80090af89aa3941bef83d97004ad70f0233cda286f4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 216,504$116,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,983.86 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 46c | 111,250$51,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,175.01 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 28,590$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,151.4 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 23,292$10,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,874.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 11,521$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 54c | 10,081$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.16 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 9,686$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 8,049$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.02 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 5,647$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.25 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 5,582$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 3,200$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,083$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 3,044$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.89 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,690$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.56 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 24c | 2,389$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 2,304$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 46c | 2,176$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…2626backed Under | 46c | 2,129$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.08 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,698$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 1,209$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 780$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 642.55$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 46c | 615.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.97 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 46c | 543.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 456$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 45c | 454$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 453$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 451.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 435.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 46c | 418.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 349.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 327$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 46c | 326.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 46c | 317.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 62c | 294.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 248$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 55c | 214.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…950bbacked Under | 52c | 208.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 174.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 46c | 163.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 46c | 160.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 149.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Under | 46c | 142.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 46c | 130.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 46c | 127.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 124.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 45c | 121.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 46c | 115.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…ad4bbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 106.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 45c | 97.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…baf3backed Under | 46c | 79.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 38c | 75.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 60.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 46c | 56.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 55.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 53c | 52.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 46c | 51.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 55c | 48.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.