MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1dcdb62e1c230113c2fba9b66e35326761469953c09370823153fd26c959d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Philadelphia Phillies, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 57,492$28,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,693.08 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 53,279$27,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,573.77 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 49,988$23,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,994.28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 45,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 42,000$20,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,159.94 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.98 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 21,661$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.61 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 14,286$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 13,064$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 9,565$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.7 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 9,001$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.48 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 8,299$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.52 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 6,907$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 6,892$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.88 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 6,840$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.35 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…00d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 6,512$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 6,507$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.23 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 6,358$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.23 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 5,489$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.19 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.89 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,933$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 3,816$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.79 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 3,363$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.77 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,658$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.46 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,478$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.15 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,256$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.67 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,891$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,710$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.57 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,710$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,642$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.03 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,429$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.65 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,231$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.05 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,139$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…f9cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,082$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,022$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,020$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,020$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.26 | 136 | 64.7%88 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,017$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.12 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 894.77$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 764.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 727.03$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 720.79$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.87 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 683.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 676.52$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 611.98$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 596.24$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 593.89$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.21 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 568.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 543.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 537$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 529.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 496.85$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 494.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 448.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 427$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 425.96$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 415.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2d1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 365.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 358.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 350.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 321.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 305.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 287.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 287.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 266.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 262$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 259.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 254.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 254.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 245.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 241.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 241.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 240$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 225.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 225.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 218.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…b0a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.