TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28dd…f376

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13653.7%73 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.14
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$15.61
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$9.57
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$6.45
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Abacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$12.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.78
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.67
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT7054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.23
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.39
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.58
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$122.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$51.04
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.54
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+122.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$323.79
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.34
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$233.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$179.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.