TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under50c98,603$49,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,892.131,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c80,000$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,799.855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under34c38,800$13,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,629.1813856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under49c26,751$13,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,643.0171650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.987147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over60c23,668$14,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,260.8411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8007353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c17,580$8,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,971.7210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over51c15,555$7,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,933.056264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c12,500$6,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,474.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under49c12,290$6,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,267.6777647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c9,523$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,856.646,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over66c7,576$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c4,560$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9878,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over49c4,550$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.520845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf499…b5d9backed Under50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under48c4,170$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.469453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under49c3,946$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.5273949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under48c3,499$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.675248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over49c3,100$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51945748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under50c2,960$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.110157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over51c2,730$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.451,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over49c2,515$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.3544945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,424$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.346,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7873748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over50c1,946$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.822,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c1,768$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.6848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c1,651$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.7464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,510$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.765,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c1,466$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.3492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over50c1,248$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under49c1,239$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c1,189$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.494,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over63c1,134$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under48c1,032$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7187750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over50c995.28$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under49c932.97$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.821,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over60c865.03$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.238,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Over52c790.95$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.445954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c773$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.773,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c720.79$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.874,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under58c699.42$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.121,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under49c598.31$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.149956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under49c594.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under49c589.39$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.591,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over49c569$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c555.01$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.342,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.141,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over52c480.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under49c466.09$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.740447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over63c445$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.354,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over59c414.46$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.812,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c414$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.18,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c404$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20224350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over68c392.01$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.755645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c299.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.162,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under48c291.87$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over63c269.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011060.9%67 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over63c248.55$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.472,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under49c244.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c243.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over62c241.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.691,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c224.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.53,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c200.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.471,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c198.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.12,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…0f33backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2918272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over38c158$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013666.2%90 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8615953.5%85 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c136$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.642,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.677050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under49c122.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4553655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4448851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over62c109.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.821,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under49c106.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c99.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.741,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Under49c99.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.588746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over17c92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under50c83.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9129250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Under49c82.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.075052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c82.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.995,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under49c81.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6422450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c80.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.442,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dd…4ac7backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.