NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a502be77b6e3c856b602508553ef9227cbd94fb6026c5d7f264ec2868bb6e4

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $530,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $503,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Thunder	43c	98,006$41,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,288.45	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs	52c	48,115$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	55c	44,841$24,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,839.81	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder	48c	43,885$20,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,970.36	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder	48c	33,333$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,333.02	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs	56c	32,913$18,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,369.3	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Thunder	49c	29,028$14,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,843.42	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Thunder	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,408.16	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,199.98	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder	44c	18,182$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,181.82	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder	49c	15,655$7,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,010.31	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs	55c	15,000$8,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,220	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Thunder	47c	14,792$6,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,840.01	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	45c	11,104$4,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,157.95	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs	7c	10,506$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.47	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Thunder	49c	10,060$4,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,130.69	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs	58c	10,042$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs	56c	9,996$5,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,641.84	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs	52c	7,609$3,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,956.75	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	53c	7,430$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920.03	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs	53c	7,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Spurs	6c	6,517$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.01	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+85%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.97	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Spurs	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Spurs	59c	5,400$3,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,160.78	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.1wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Thunder	50c	5,338$2,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,669.16	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	24c	5,220$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.79	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Thunder	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.94	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Spurs	57c	4,991$2,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,845	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs	57c	4,386$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	44c	3,953$1,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,227.31	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder	44c	3,580$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.83	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs	44c	3,565$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,567.81	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Spurs	51c	3,535$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.7	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	51c	3,400$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.77	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs	27c	3,395$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.5	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.99	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Spurs	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.99	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	46c	2,860$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.83	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs	56c	2,680$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.92	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs	57c	2,632$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs	34c	2,301$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.54	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked Spurs	55c	2,268$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Thunder	78c	2,261$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.71	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Thunder	45c	2,250$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Thunder	44c	2,175$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.99	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Spurs	58c	2,149$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.06	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs	50c	2,110$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.13	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.12	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Thunder	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.91	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs	54c	2,020$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.7	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs	55c	1,908$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.67	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ae…809abacked Spurs	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-45%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Spurs	56c	1,719$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Thunder	45c	1,700$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Thunder	49c	1,605$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.5	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Spurs	53c	1,520$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.6	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs	14c	1,436$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.8	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder	44c	1,431$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.34	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Spurs	53c	1,248$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.47	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Spurs	52c	1,236$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.3	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Spurs	26c	1,200$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.92	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Thunder	43c	1,150$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.58	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Thunder	43c	1,150$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.58	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Thunder	71c	1,137$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Thunder	44c	1,136$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.36	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Spurs	50c	1,078$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.11	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs	56c	1,071$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	66c	1,067$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.28	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Spurs	51c	1,063$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Thunder	60c	1,051$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.82	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	31c	1,037$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Thunder	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	147	31.3%46 W · 101 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	51c	999.99$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.66	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs	52c	968.52$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.07	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Spurs	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Spurs	57c	950.88$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Spurs	52c	950$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+7.5wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs	52c	862.41$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.45	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-12.7wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs	21c	856.52$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.72	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder	45c	846.68$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.57	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Thunder	44c	818.64$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.44	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Spurs	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Spurs	57c	800$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	314	53.5%168 W · 146 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…bf14backed Spurs	52c	754.5$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.34	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44de…e77fbacked Thunder	49c	754.29$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked Spurs	45c	737.78$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.09	126	29.4%37 W · 89 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Spurs	55c	728$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.4	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Spurs	52c	700$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf42…0997backed Spurs	57c	694.74$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	49cpaid	+82.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	22c	664$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.67	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs	55c	640$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Spurs	52c	609.38$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.34	218	43.6%95 W · 123 L	-15.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Spurs	55c	605.99$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.29	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Thunder	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event