TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$434,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$483,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under52c129,182$66,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,976.64951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over48c73,222$35,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,075.445940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under50c48,083$24,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,106.343844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over48c43,575$20,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,757.941560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c33,333$17,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,666.4714538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c30,460$15,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,331.521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c29,293$14,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,939.417650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over49c28,742$14,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,638.5320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c16,671$8,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,607.7769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c11,216$5,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,791.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under52c10,336$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,374.5129748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c9,845$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,021.091,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5908153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c7,841$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.2355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over49c6,104$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.9824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c5,596$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.0418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c5,353$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.062653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7286…d5d0backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over49c3,300$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6832356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5609447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over49c2,910$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.110146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under51c2,825$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.752245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c2,689$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc153…6767backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under51c2,461$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.115269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c2,432$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.9532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Over50c2,123$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c2,080$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04016740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over49c2,054$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.4213161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over50c2,030$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.232560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,953$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under52c1,935$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.5312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over70c1,492$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over49c1,480$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.87458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Over49c1,236$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.566237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9916050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over50c1,198$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.172065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,098$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.9221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under29c1,047$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2211639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51015744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c985$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.213063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c900.02$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.731,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c888.3$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c884.74$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.375839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under33c859.12$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.513852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Over45c832.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.152846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6da…235ebacked Under52c754.79$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.491346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.55937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5440…369ebacked Over49c749.2$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.091250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under52c703.68$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over48c620$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under51c606$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.063951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c570$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…2370backed Over48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2861850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3354748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3055143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb2…5a60backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3269…d5b3backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over48c499.46$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under51c451$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.014047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c451$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c450.96$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336a…1967backed Over48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2342040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over76c381.58$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c372.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under51c332$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.327452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under55c331.81$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.515961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over49c328.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.125435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea15…a9dabacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under51c269.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2412645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.34156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c221$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.921,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c217.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0820847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.