TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,134 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3088…2391backed Yes42c9,113$3,865 inLost-$3,865.193256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No58c4,511$2,597 inWon+$1,914.711,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No57c2,961$1,674 inWon+$1,287.791,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes2c2,625$45 inLost-$45420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No60c1,873$1,117 inWon+$755.9239265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes1c1,500$20 inLost-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c1,500$20 inLost-$201236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,500$20 inLost-$20981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No61c1,000$611 inWon+$38936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Yes40c912.99$364 inLost-$363.849044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Yes4c750$28 inLost-$27.580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes4c750$28 inLost-$27.578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Yes37c744.72$278 inLost-$277.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed No64c700$450 inWon+$2501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…8e37backed Yes37c561.25$210 inLost-$209.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Yes4c549$20 inLost-$20.1317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes2c545$11 inLost-$10.9147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-90.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No63c544.92$343 inWon+$201.5465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes42c500.71$210 inLost-$210.2733049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed No58c348.27$202 inWon+$146.3719952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c287.83$171 inWon+$116.3392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes6c212.01$13 inLost-$12.9611136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No63c110$69 inWon+$41.143752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Yes40c101.75$41 inLost-$40.718054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes34c99.99$34 inLost-$3412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No63c93.51$59 inWon+$3596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed No69c92.54$64 inWon+$28.232568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Yes40c86.51$35 inLost-$355451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No63c79.33$50 inWon+$29.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No60c40$24 inWon+$1613764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No59c38.33$22 inWon+$15.8329449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed No59c33.68$20 inWon+$13.763551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No63c23.99$15 inWon+$8.9533356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed No65c15.75$10 inWon+$5.593360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked No78c15$12 inWon+$3.32770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.